Monday, September 26, 2016

Clinton Wins First Debate

Interesting snapshot from CNN polling on tonight's first debate between Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump. Their sample of over 500 registered voters was asked who won the debate. They broke 62% for Clinton to 27% for Trump. The sample was 10% more Democratic and 2% less Republican than the population as a whole, so corrected for that it would still read 52% thought Clinton won and 29% thought Trump did. It was a decisive win for Clinton, who was the more knowledgeable and presidential of the two by far. CNN's focus group of 20 undecided voters is a smaller sample, but was even more decisive. 18 of the 20 said Clinton won the debate. 100 million people watched the debate, a huge audience. We'll see if this performance moves the national polling Clinton's way by the end of the week or so.

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