Tuesday, March 24, 2020

Vital Covid-19 Information

■ President Trump suggested that the shutdown to halt the spread of the virus would not be extended. “If it were up to the doctors, they’d say let’s shut down the entire world,” the president said. Relaxing the restrictions could significantly increase the death toll from the virus, public health officials warn.
■ An Arizona man died and his wife was hospitalized after officials said they self-medicated using a fish tank additive that has the same active ingredient as an anti-malaria drug promoted by the president.■ Officials in Wuhan, China, where the outbreak started, said today that public transportation would resume within 24 hours and that residents would be allowed to leave the city beginning April 8, as infections appeared to be dwindling.
The world infection rate is accelerating. Reported on Good Morning America this morning, it took 2 months to reach 100,000 global infections, 11 days from there to reach 200,000, and only five days after that to reach 300,000.  

Those figures plus the Wuhan experience show that if Trump can stay patient  another 4-5 weeks (or state governors defy him and maintain their own shutdowns strongly) we may be able to get the upper hand on this and get back to normal faster. If not, the virus will explode nationally, there will be carnage and we could have as many as 2 million US deaths.

Saturday, March 21, 2020

Coronavirus Prospects

It's been reported that Italy suffered 793 deaths yesterday from Covid-19, the coronavirus pandemic. We are on a pace about 14 days behind them. Our death toll should be much higher. We have 5 1/2 times Italy’s population and our preparation for this pandemic and health system is no better than theirs. So if they are at 800 a day in a couple of weeks we ought to be at 4,400 a day. Think of it. All the troops we lost in Iraq in 9 years of war, that number dying every day from this virus. It’s mind boggling. Stay safe, friends!