Tuesday, March 24, 2015

Why Conservative Thinking Doesn’t Work, Part 4: Putting Ideology Ahead of Public Opinion



    One would think that in a vibrant, responsive democracy, when the people have strongly-held views, government leaders would be eager to put them into effect.  But that thinking rarely operates when conservative ideology is concerned. On issue after issue, conservatives in office follow their ideological preferences, not only when they run counter to human needs, not only when they fly in the face of fact, but also when they are heavily unpopular with the American people.       
     Reputable polling organizations find that conservative positions are out of touch with the views of most Americans on a host of issues. Here are some recent examples, as illustrated by the findings of the Gallup Poll. 
     In 2010 the Dream Act was favored by the American people by a margin of 54 to 42 percent.  It would grant legal status to young people who were brought to America as infants or small children, have stayed out of legal trouble and who go to college for two years or serve in the military. It won by 14 votes in the U.S. Senate but conservatives stopped it on a filibuster. 
     A much larger percentage of Americans are in favor of a “path to citizenship” for illegal immigrants if they have been in the U.S. a “long time, pass a criminal background check, pay back taxes and a penalty, and learn English.” A whopping 87 percent agreed in a 2013 Gallup poll. Only 12 percent disagreed. The Senate passed an immigration bill with these provisions by a wide majority with support from both parties, but conservative opposition in the House of Representatives has prevented it from even being brought up for a vote in that chamber.
     In 2013, Gallup found 53 percent of Americans were against overturning Roe v. Wade, the Supreme Court decision that gave women the right to an abortion. Only 29 percent wanted the decision reversed. The same year found 78 percent in favor of legal abortion under “all” or “certain circumstances” and only 20 percent wanting to be “illegal in all circumstances.” Yet that is what conservatives, especially social conservatives, want to enforce. In 2013, over 50 new restrictions on abortion were passed in states where conservative legislatures hold the majority.
     Gallup asked Americans in 2013, “Would you vote for or against a law that would require background checks for all gun purchases?” 83 percent said “for” and 17 percent said “against.”  Conservatives in the U.S. Senate blocked the majority from passing just such legislation with a filibuster.  
     Conservatives continue to battle against contraception, even though 89 percent of Americans feel contraception is morally acceptable and only 8 percent do not. Even Catholics think so, by a margin of 82 to 15 percent. Conservatives tried to use opposition to contraception to invalidate Obamacare. Meanwhile, 98 percent of American women report using contraception at some point in their lives.
     58 percent of Americans were in favor of legalizing marijuana against 38 percent opposed.  This is even though just 38 percent said they had ever tried it and only 6 percent said they had used marijuana in the past month. Most, including those who do not use marijuana themselves, seem to think this legal war is an exercise in futility.
     In 2014, Gallup found Americans supported same-sex marriage by 55 to 42 percent. In 2013, 52 percent of Americans said they would, if given the chance, vote to make marriage equality the law in all 50 states, versus 42 percent who said they would vote no. The trend is also noteworthy.  From 1996 to 2008 the percentage for marriage equality grew by an average of 1 percent a year and the percentage against fell by 1 percent a year. But since 2009 the momentum has accelerated. In ’09 opinion as sampled by Gallup was still 57 to 40 against. In the ensuing four years the liberal view gained 3 percent a year and the conservative view lost three percent a year, producing the current 8-percent margin in favor. Conservatives, of course, continue to ignore the rapidly gathering national consensus and remain against marriage equality.
     Conservatives fought for the 2013 “Sequester” budget cuts to public services, even though 56 percent of the American people felt if they were adopted “the economy will get worse.”  Conservatives instead cast their lot with the 30 percent who disagreed.
     Conservative congressmen, led by Sen. Ted Cruz of Texas, orchestrated a government shutdown in late 2013 to try to stop the implementation of the Obamacare health program. The Quinnipiac University Poll found that Americans opposed the shutdown idea by an overwhelming margin of 72 percent to 22 percent.
     Prominent defense conservatives such as Senators John McCain and Lindsey Graham decry the idea of negotiations with Iran over its nuclear program, and 47 Republican senators signed a letter sent to the ayatollahs of Iran telling them not to negotiate with America. Meanwhile, the CNN Poll found Americans support direct negotiations with Iran over its nuclear program by 75 percent to 20 percent.    
     A 2013 Kaiser Family Foundation poll on deficit reduction asked people what they thought ought to be cut “if the president and Congress decide to reduce the deficit by reducing spending.”  Lopsided majorities were against any cuts to public education, Medicare and Social Security, and strong pluralities were against cuts to Medicaid and health insurance subsidies. Yet education is one of the places where conservatives made major cuts in the recession, and the others are consistently mentioned in conservative proposals to cut, privatize and voucherize.
     The people support clean campaign finance practices, and liberals are fighting to overturn the 2010 Citizens United Supreme Court ruling. In that case, the court’s conservative majority, by a 5-4 vote, threw out forty years of law and held that unlimited corporate political contributions were fine. A 2012 Greenberg Quinlan Rosner poll found that 62% of registered voters disagreed with the Citizens United decision. Yet conservative leaders continue to back it.  
     The issue of income inequality continued to gain greater importance as the prosperity of the wealthy surged in the recovery while pay for most workers lagged behind. President Obama pushed for a major hike in the federal minimum wage, from $7.25 an hour to $10.10. A Quinnipiac survey in January 2014 found the American people solidly in support, by the huge majority of 72 percent to 27 percent. Even Republicans agreed, 52 percent to 45 percent.  Nonetheless, conservatives, particularly economic conservatives, and the business community were bitterly opposed. 
     Income inequality could be a ticking time bomb for conservatives. A Pew poll in early 2014 found 65 percent of Americans felt income inequality had gotten worse in the past ten years, and 69 percent said government should take action to reduce the gap. Only 26 percent said government should do little or nothing about it. A 2013 Gallup poll had found that by a count of 59 percent to 33 percent Americans felt the distribution of wealth in the country is unfair and should be “more evenly distributed among a larger percentage of the people.” Another question in the same poll asked, “Do you think our government should or should not redistribute wealth by heavy taxes on the rich?” 52 percent said it should and 45 percent said no, it shouldn’t. Don’t hold your breath waiting to see if conservatives will act to implement the people’s choice on this one.  
     Time and again conservatives have demonstrated they are little concerned with what the people actually want. The cases you have just read provide plenty of examples on issue after issue where the wishes of two-to-one, three-to-one, even up to ten-to-one majorities of the American people are ignored in favor of following conservative ideology and satisfying a small minority of conservative voters at the behest of an even smaller fraction of wealthy backers.  This is a third and foundational weakness that accounts for a good deal of the reason why conservative thinking doesn’t work—it so often ignores the needs, the wishes and the plain common sense of the great majority of the very people it purports to serve. 
     

No comments: