An ABC/Washington Post poll, a survey with a strong reputation for accuracy, was released today. It showed 49% in favor of impeachment and removal and 47% opposed. The same poll in July was 37% in favor and 59% against, so there has been movement. In my view, that number will have to go up to at least 60% for conviction in the US Senate to have any real chance of success. We’ll see how effective the televised, open hearings to come are in moving opinion more. There’s no question the Dems need to go ahead with this, given the blatant criminality and betrayal that’s been revealed. Still, I’d say the smart betting money currently would be about 80-20 that Trump isn’t convicted in the Senate.
