Thursday, April 30, 2009

The San Francisco General Strike

Seventy-five years ago this May workers of Depression-era San Francisco, fed up with low wages, intolerable conditions and organized violence against them, flexed their muscles and staged a four-day general strike. The General Strike of '34 ushered in an age of prosperity for working people in San Francisco and spurred passage of the Wagner Act that, in 1935, extended the gains across the nation. The history of this bold action should not be forgotten. You can see yesterday's San Francisco Chronicle article on it here.

Action began with the longshoremen. In those days men simply showed up before the crack of dawn every day to try to get hired in a desperate exercise called the "shapeup." No one knew how many hours he would get or how much he would be paid for them. Often it meant 16-hour days for starvation wages. An Australian immigrant and 13-year dockworker named Harry Bridges patiently coordinated with longshore workers all along the Pacific Coast. In May, 1934 40,000 longshoremen went on strike and shut down every West Coast port. Police and paid company enforcers responded with savage violence, and "sent hundreds of strikers and sympathizers to hospital emergency rooms."

The brutality culminated on July 5, "Bloody Thursday," when police bullets killed two strikers outside the Longshoremen's Union Hall on Stueart Street. The two men lay in state before being led through the city at the head of a massive and disciplined silent parade that finally galvanized the city's working people and gained the support of the middle class. A four-day general strike of practically the entire work force paralyzed the city's economy, demonstrated what the united power of the workers could do, and struck terror into the hearts of the Titans of Nob Hill. "After this display of determined collective power, the maritime workers gained union recognition, substantial increases in wages and control over their hiring halls."

The San Francisco example set off similar movements across the nation in such places as Minneapolis-St. Paul, Toledo, and throughout the Carolinas textile industry. Workers were killed in every one of these challenges to employers, who time and again resorted to armed thugs to attempt to enforce control over the workers. Chaos and bloodshed made it obvious that peaceful procedures needed to be devised to settle labor disputes. The very next year congress passed the National Labor Relations Act (Wagner Act) that guaranteed the right to organize and set up the ground rules for collective bargaining. The San Francisco General Strike "was cited as Exhibit A" in this great advance for American wage earners.

It began the process of strong union representation that resulted in the economic and political power that transformed America's blue collar workers into the foundation of the prosperous middle class of homeowners that propelled U.S. living standards to the pinnacle of the world by mid-century. This month, the 75th anniversary of these seminal events, it should be remembered not only that many died for these gains but that the stringent efforts of the past thirty years to discredit and limit the effectiveness of the labor movement have coincided with stagnation and indeed a reduction in the national standard of living for all but the top few percent of the American people. This points up a consistent theme. Rights are not granted from on high. They must be won, often at a terrible price. And they must be defended, or eventually they are lost.

Tuesday, April 28, 2009

CA State Convention

I went to the California State Democratic convention as a delegate for the first time this past weekend. It was a fascinating kaleidoscope of speeches, events, issues, meet and greets, caucuses and votes. There are a myriad of booths for various causes, groups and candidates. I went with a colleague, Government Professor Amy Pritchett, and 12 students from our Young Democrats club. Three of them were official Convention Delegates too. Our Central Committee delegation was also there.

Upon arrival Friday my most interesting session was with the Progressive Caucus. It was a massive gathering of perhaps 1,500 people. Progressives are definitely in the driver's seat in the party these days, at least at the state convention level. There were many reports. I joined and paid the $10 so I could vote for Karen Bernal in the election for chair. The caucus took so long I wasn't able to attend the CTA or Labor Caucuses. Amy went to CTA for both of us.

Saturday was packed. The morning session featured speeches by prominent people such as Labor Secretary Hilda Solis, Sen. Barbara Boxer, Gubernatorial Candidate San Francisco Mayor Gavin Newsom and Attorney General and possible gubernatorial candidate Jerry Brown. Newsom gave a very polished speech. Brown spoke extemporaneously and was impressive. The guy has still got it. He clearly sees how seemingly disparate items are all part of an integrated whole.

I'd paid $60 to go to the leadership lunch. Senate President Pro Tem Darrell Steinberg, Assembly Speaker Karen Bass and Congressional Delegation Chair Zoe Lofgren were the headline speakers over chicken and pasta. The eight people at my table were most interesting to talk to. They were all veteran activists. One was a former mayor of Palo Alto, where Stanford University is located. These folks had a great deal of interesting experience.

After lunch was our regional election meeting. Only three of 21 state regions were having contested elections for Regional Director. Our region 11 was one of those. It was fairly contentious between some of their supporters. The challenger Paul Scott outpolled the incumbent Bob Conaway 40-29.

Saturday afternoon featured the treat of hearing some more interesting speakers. among these was a joint appearance by a nephew of Harvey Milk, also gay, and Harvey's campaign manager. But the big splash was Nancy Pelosi. She is the prime Republican target these days, but of course was received warmly at this event. She extolled the achievements so far of the Congress and Obama administration, such as equal pay for women, children's health, banning torture, passing the stimulus and budget and getting ready to focus on energy, health and education. Having one of the state's own as Speaker of the House is unprecedented. Many delegates I talked to marvelled about living to see the amazing sight of a woman Speaker and black President. After Pelosi's speech I and a couple of our YD's hustled into a line to get the Speaker's autograph on our copies of her book "Know Your Power: A Message to America's Daughters" that had been included in our materials. She was most gracious to me when my turn came up, spending a bit more time than she needed to in exchanging pleasantries. The glowering secret service types flanking her behind the table did not seem to be having much of a fun day at all.

Next it was on to the old Governor's Mansion for a tour and a meet and greet with Jerry Brown. After dinner in Old Twon with some friends it was back to the Convention Center to drop in at the Hospitality Suites. The Raoul Wallenbeerg Jewish Democratic Club had great ice cream sundaes. Gavin Newsom and Darrell Steinberg showed up to shake hands and schmooze. Amy and I got our picture taken with Superintendent of Public Instruction Jack O'Connell. He mentioned he had gotten the 55% budget requirement for community colleges passed.

We didn't go to the dinner for outgoing state chair Art Torres, which cost $125. Our Young Dems earned their floor passes by putting John Burton for State Chair signs on every seat in the hall.

Sunday opened with a few more speakers before getting down to business. The star of these was former National Chair Howard Dean. This brilliant fellow was certainly instrumental in the Democrats' tremendous electoral successes in 2006 and 2008. His organizing acumen and "50-state strategy" was certainly vindicated by the congressional, presidential and state government results across the country. Listening to his intellect was an invigorating experience.

The Convention ended with voting on endorsements for the California ballot propositions for the May 19 election, and the platform planks. The Propositions are part of the budget settlement that ended an 8-month deadlock in the legislature. Because of the state's idiotic requirement of a 2/3 vote to pass a budget, a handful of Republicans can hold everything up. The two sides finally made a settlement that needed voter approval for provisions of the final package. Party leaders such as Sen. Steinberg argued strongly for endorsement of all six Props, 1 A-F. Some activists argued against. The majority of delegates voted in favor of all six, but since a 60% vote was required for endorsement only three overcame that threshold and secured party endorsement. They were 1B, 1C and 1F. 1A, 1D and 1E fell short. This is because the mostly liberal activists who make up the convention do not like to compromise and felt the settlement was not good enough. I supported the leadership on the grounds that if we scuttled the deal there is no guarantee the GOP legislators will be willing to compromise again. There is every reason to expect them to dig in their heels, provoke a crisis until the money runs out, and then watch Governor Schwarzenegger mandate draconian cuts unilaterally in the absence of a budget. That is just what the Republicans would love to see. Then next year the party could try to pass an initiative to get rid of the 2/3 requirement. I tried to get the debate coordinator to see that this argument was made to the floor, but she brushed me off. "We have it covered." Uh huh. Then 1A went down. Now it will be up primarily to CTA to appeal to the voters to pass the Props anyway.

Finally, the platform items. Every recommended resolution was passd, though some only after debate. The most prominent were to oppose an open primary system, and in favor of a moratorium on the death penalty, the repeal of Prop 8 that denied same-sex marriage, an oil severance tax used to support higher education, requiring only a majority legislative vote to pass a budget, single payer health coverage, and a call for impeachment investigations of "Judge Jay Bybee and Others for Their Role in Allowing Torture as Part of 'Enhanced Interrogation.'"

All in all the Democratic Convention was a fascinating spectacle and experience. I talked to several old timers who said it was a far cry from the old days when a few party insiders pretty much controlled everything. The rank and file majority is much more driving the bus these days, they all seemed to agree. It's not that hard to attend. Those interested in the process ought to give it a try in their states if they get a chance.

Thursday, April 23, 2009

Convention Bound

I'll be off to the state party convention in Sacramento Friday morning and will return Sunday evening. I'll be going with twelve members of our college's Young Democrats organization, and as a delegate with our County Central Committee.

There will be contests for state party offices and for endorsements for Governor, Attorney General and the other state officials. There will also be resolutions for the platform. It should be two and a half full days. We could even see appearances by national figures.

If I get a chance I'll keep you posted. Otherwise, I'll chime in Sunday night.

Wednesday, April 22, 2009

Earth Day

Happy Earth Day. The annual observance has survived primarily as a time to reflect on the environment. Of special importance is that we now find ourselves in the Sixth Great Extinction of the planet's known paleologic history. In this current Holocene Extinction we are losing species at an estimated rate of about 70 a day, or some 25,000 a year. That is many times the "normal" rate over geologic time, which is about five taxonomic families per each million years.

The low estimate for extinctions in the Twentieth Century is 140,000 species. The upper is about a million. Most noteworthy since 1950 is the accelerated number of plant extinctions. It is estimated there are 10-11 million species on Earth, most of them microscopic. Twelve of the thirteen major fisheries on the planet are evidencing severe depletion. There are only 148 large mammal species (average mature individual weighing over 100 pounds) left in the wild.

Here are some of the greatest threats. Either we will deal with them in the next decades or the inexorable laws of chemistry and biology will deal with them--and us--in their own immutable fashion.

1. Greenhouse gas buildup in the atmosphere. Causes global warming, changes precipitation patterns, spreads diseases into new biomes, raises sea levels, intensifies cyclonic storms, renders current growing areas unsuitable.
2. Habitat destruction.
3. Spread of invasive species.
4. Over exploitation of biological resources.
5. Release of heavy metals into biomes and water table.
6. Evolution of resistant pathogens.
7. Soil depletion and erosion.
8. Desertification of savanna regions.
9. Environmental release of pharmaceutical compounds.
10. Poverty. Dire third-world poverty in particular results in the stripping of any and all consumables from a landscape, leaving it barren.

Monday, April 20, 2009

Rick Perry and the Faustian Bargain

I've been asked to comment on the issues raised by Texas Governor Rick Perry's statement last week about his state seceding from the Union. My basic reaction recalls an old analogy: when you lie down with dogs you get up with fleas. The Republican Party, by hitching its wagon to a Southern strategy, has morphed into a quasi-regional and sectarian party. It has reaped electoral advantage from that but has paid a great price, as has the country. This is what the one-time party of Lincoln has inevitably become after taking the path of common cause with that still only partially reconstructed region and its revanchist attitudes.

To begin with, Gov. Perry talked out of both sides of his mouth. While giving an interview after speaking at one of those "Tea Party" anti-tax rallies last week, Perry established his context and apparent ignorance of the outcome of the Civil War with, "Texas is a unique place. When we came into the union in 1845 one of the issues was that we would be able to leave if we decided to do that." He then backtracked a bit before sending a tantalizing signal in southern code speak, "We have a great union and there's absolutely no reason to dissolve it. But if Washington continues to thumb their nose at the American people who knows what may come of that?" Rally goers listening to the Governor responded with enthusiastic chants of "Secede! Secede!" Click here to listen to the MSNBC audio on Talking Points Memo.

Only in that region of extreme "solutions" to any issue could such sentiments be voiced by the governor of a state. Only in that region could an American politician of stature intimate any sentiment but horror at the very thought of revisiting a dismemberment of the union for any reason. The violent and irretrievably selfish impulses implicit in Perry's construction fall on fertile ground only among the adherents of the imaginary realm romanticized in Gone With the Wind. Never mind that the other viewpoint just won an election by nine and a half million votes. If our opinions do not prevail, they glower, Washington is thumbing its nose at the American people and the nation itself must be sacrificed on the altar of our presumption.

Richard Nixon committed his campaign to a "Southern Strategy" in 1968. Ronald Reagan emphatically repeated it in 1980. The bargain was cemented in 1994 in congress by Newt Gingrich and his "Contract for America." Over the ensuing 12 years the GOP veered farther and farther to the extreme right, capturing overwhelming dominance in Old Dixie without completely losing its hold in the Northeast and Great Lakes regions. But in the process, Old Dixie captured the party itself. The moderates were driven out of it. When difficulties mounted to a crescendo by 2006, these moderate areas finally turned on an ideology they had never fully bought into, and the Democrats regained the strong majorities they had enjoyed through most of the Twentieth Century.

Things have come full circle now. Fully relieved of their one-time reliance on a Democratic Solid South (1844-1964) it is the Democrats who are the national party of the future and big ideas and the Republicans who are the party of states rights and limited vision. Lincoln has long since stopped spinning in his grave. It is Jefferson Davis, Theodore Bilbo and George Wallace who are the soul mates of Rick Perry and the GOP of today.

Saturday, April 18, 2009

Landmark Greenhouse Gas Ruling

And so we return to honesty; what a concept! Word came yesterday that the Environmental Protection Agency has ruled carbon dioxide and four other greenhouse gases "pollutants that threaten public health and welfare." See the article in Time here. What a difference a change in political administrations can make to the findings of science, or at least to the freedom of scientists to report the findings their research has supported all along.

Congress will now decide whether to pass the most extensive clean air bill in twenty years, since the acid rain and ozone hole issues were at the forefront. You can read the Associated Press article on it as printed in my local Fresno Bee here.

The finding is the outgrowth of a Supreme Court case, Massachusetts v. EPA, that was decided in 2007 on a 5-4 vote. In that case, the state of Massachusetts, joined by other states, argued that the Bush-era EPA's refusal to certify the harmfulness of CO2, given its contributions to global warming, was a dereliction of its chartered duty to protect the people of the United States from air pollution. You can read about the case in Oyez, the Supreme Court's official publication.

Even after the Court's ruling, policy change was stymied for another year and a half by the Bush Administration's strategy of delay and obfuscation. It is remarkable how quickly the EPA thereafter moved once the Obama Administration assumed office and the ideological blinders were taken off. Chances are that Congress will now move quickly. That is because now that the finding has been made, there are two ways regulations can be imposed to implement a remedy. One is for the EPA to develop regulations on its own. In the absence of congressional action, that is what will happen. But no one knows what might come of that. Rep. Ed Markey, D-Mass, has introduced the American Clean Energy and Security Act. In cooperation with Energy and Commerce Committee Chair Henry Waxman, D-Calif, the 648-bill attempts not only to regulate CO2 sources but to "wean the nation off foreign oil imports and to create a new clean energy economy."

No doubt there will be political horse trading on the matter. But at least it must now be based on an understanding that a problem exists and can no longer be conveniently ignored because unpleasant facts cannot be admitted. If conservative lawmakers want to water curbs down due to their possible effect on business they will have to defend their positions on those grounds, not on the specious grounds that no problem exists. And if inadequate remedies are erected they can again be the subject of additional legal suits.

It is refreshing when deceit gives way to fact as a basis for policy discussion. The nation and the world will reap increasing benefits the more this path is followed. We were truly in an Orwellian world when a bureau called the Environmental Protection Agency was the body obstructing the protection of the environment. This is but one example of how we have, thankfully, entered a new era.

Thursday, April 16, 2009

Obama Disappoints on Torture Memos

Today President Barack Obama ordered the Office of Legal Counsel to release memos from the years between 2002 and 2005 relating to interrogation techniques then approved for use against terrorism suspects. He also issued a statement outlining his reasons for the release, explaining the principles the U.S. will follow from now on and giving his view of what the legal system should do from here. The President's reasons for making the documents public are acceptable. His statement of principles is welcome. But his vision for legal action is little but a disappointing rationale for justifying political expediency over law and principle.

You can read the documents themselves as first released here. They allowed for such procedures as depriving detainees of sleep for a week, throwing them against a wall as many as thirty times, and of course, waterboarding. There is no question such practices violate the Geneva Convention on the Treatment of Prisoners. You can see them here, particularly Article 3, Section 1 clauses a) and c). The United States has ratified this Convention, making it American as well as international law.

In discussing his decision to come forward with the material and his views on related matters, here is President Obama's statement as printed in the New York Times.

Obama said he is making the documents public because the "techniques described in these memos have already been widely reported," the "previous Administration publicly acknowledged portions of the program," and, "I have already ended the techniques described in the memos." The President spoke of maintaining a true and accurate "accounting of the past." The first two reasons are disappointing. They seem to say that since the world already knows the truth there is no sense trying to keep covering it up. The intimation seems to be that if the world had not found out then maybe Obama would think it a good idea to keep the truth hidden. He seems worried about being criticized for revealing U.S. secrets by hardliners, whether they are justifiably secret or not. That does not sound like "change we can believe in." The last reason, to set the record straight, is the one saving part of this section of the statement, along with his assertion, "their release is required by the rule of law." (emphasis added)

The part of Obama's statement outlining his perspective on torture is the most sensible and humane. After recalling his prohibition of these practices "in one of my first acts as President," Obama went on to assert his stance that, "they undermine our moral authority and do not make us safer," and rejected excusing torture as a "false choice between our security and our ideals." This is all well in keeping with the standards of the United States and the kind of conduct that will attract allies and partners rather than the abhorrence of civilized people while it swells the ranks of our adversaries.

The President, however, ends on an unsatisfactory note in his desire to sweep the unpleasantries of the past under the rug. He states, "This is a time for reflection, not retribution." He says, "nothing will be gained by spending our time and energy laying blame for the past." It is enough, he says, to, "right its course in concert with our core values," but then to, "come together on behalf of our common future." Obama closes by saying of the memos, "we have taken steps to ensure that the actions described within them will never take place again."

It is here that I would disagree. He has taken but halfhearted steps to prevent them from happening again, even on his watch. He has issued an Executive Order. Since there is apparently to be no consequence for those who flouted U.S. law before in this regard, there is little to suggest a sterner approach if it happens again. As for letting the past fade away without resolution other than "reflection," that is what led to this problem in the first place. The fall of the Nixon Administration but the pardon of its leader led at least two of its young lions, Dick Cheney and Don Rumsfeld, to plot for nearly thirty years to get back into power and be part of an Administration unfettered by moral or legal constraints in pursuit of its hardline "realpolitik" views.

President Obama has a lot on his to-do list, to be sure. In addition to inheriting a terrible economy, two wars and an impending environmental crisis, new problems continue to arise. The Mexican drug war, Indian Ocean piracy and reforming the tax system stand as examples of the growing list of serious challenges. From what he said today, that looks to be one of his concerns in deciding not to go after the "misguided zealotry" at best, or sadistic criminality at worst that these memos unleashed. But expedient yielding to wrong is never a good idea. It tends to invite more of it, sooner or later.

Monday, April 13, 2009

Diplomatic Movement in Syria?

If you are interested in foreign affairs and world events there are few better places to spend an hour than "Fareed Zakaria GPS" on CNN Sunday mornings. "GPS" in this case stands for Global Public Square. This week was no exception, and featured a remarkable interview with the Syrian ambassador to the United States, Imad Moustapha. You can read the entire transcript here. The bottom line from Syria's ambassador is that he says his country is ready to agree to a permanent peace with Israel.

Such a peace could be along the lines of what currently exists between Israel and Egypt and Israel and Jordan. Israel would return the Golan, the two countries would exchange recognition and ambassadors, normalize relations and so on. But Moustapha hopes the agreement would go even further, to include a comprehensive and final settlement of the Palestinian-Israeli dispute. Significantly, however, that was not held up as a precondition. "But you have alluded to the Israeli peace agreement with Jordan and Egypt. If this is what Israel wants, this can be done." But he went on to propose, "The issue is, shouldn't we at one point arrive to a point in which peace prevails in the Middle East, suffering ends, human dignity is restored to the Palestinian nation?"

The ambassador feels the election of Barack Obama has opened new possibilities. "We thought that America has vindicated herself by electing Obama after eight terrible years with the Bush administration. The ordinary, simple man from Syria was overjoyed." But for his country in particular, Moustapha explained, "However, because of Syria, the major emphasis was on the sentence in which he said that he wants to support the peace process between Syria and Israel. This made news headlines in Syria as compared to the Bush administration that used to oppose peace talks between Syria and Israel. For us in Syria, I think this was a very important message."

He contended the U.S. has a "moral obligation" to sponsor peace talks. He shows an appreciation for Israeli concerns and the special relationship it enjoys with America by saying, "The moment the United States will come in vigorously and tell the Israelis, while we are absolutely committed to your security, we believe that what you are doing is detriment even to your own security on the long term (sic)." Moustapha also praised the naming of former Senator George Mitchell as special envoy to the region, calling him, "A person known for his honesty, integrity, fairness and his capability to deliver."

Though hopes have been dashed many times in the volatile region, this is quite an important set of pronouncements from Syria's official representative to the United States. It affords an opportunity to defuse a dispute between Israel and the third of its four neighbors. Perhaps as importantly, it appears to evidence Syrian willingness to warm up to the United States and reconsider what Zakaria calls its recent "unnatural alliance with normally anti-Arab (and, of course, highly anti-American) Iran." By declaring certain countries pariah states and refusing to engage with them, American diplomacy over the past few years has done much to push them into common cause with each other. So both for reasons of peace and national interest, this is an opening the Obama administration would do well to fully explore.

Saturday, April 11, 2009

Once Upon a Time in Freeville

Once upon a time there was a small town called Freeville. The people of Freeville were the happiest in the world because they were free. They gloried in how free they were, and told visitors and people from other towns about it all the time whenever they met.

Freeville was situated on the east bank of the Swift River in the foothills of the Snowy Mountains. Across the river on the west bank lay most of the good farmland. There the land was flat and the soil was deep and fertile. Wide fields of swaying grain and dense orchards laden with fruit abounded there.

Most of the people of Freeville lived in town on the east side of the Swift River and had to cross it to work in their fields and orchards on the west side. For a long time there had been only two ways to cross the river. One way was to pay Giles the ferryman a bushel of grain or fruit. Then he would take you across in his boat. The other way was to swim.

Everyone thought this was a great system for crossing the river, because everyone was free to make their own choice. The better-off farmers always freely chose to pay Giles and ride the ferry. It cost them but they arrived on the other side safe and dry. The not-so-well-off farmers and the workers who labored for the farmers always freely chose to swim, because they had no extra grain or fruit to trade for a ride. Some died every year, but that was accepted as part of the inevitable price of freedom. Fate acted in strange ways, and who was to question it? At least they had died free, after freely choosing their means of crossing the Swift River.

Then one day a citizen of Freeville named Newell was telling a visitor about the wonderful freedom the Freevillians enjoyed. But to his surprise the visitor did not marvel. Instead, he laughed derisively. He scoffed, "You besotted oafs have not even a bridge across your river, and many die every year because of it!" Newell was taken aback. "What is a bridge?" he asked. The conversation became so interesting Newell invited the stranger home for dinner. Through the evening the two worked together to draw a picture of a bridge. Newell found out everything he could about how to build one.

After bidding his guest good bye the next morning, Newell was bursting with enthusiasm to tell everyone in Freeville about the bridge. He showed them the drawing and described how it could be built. It would be the best thing that had happened in Freeville in a long time! All his friends became enthusiastic. Many lives would be saved.

But Newell had not thought things through. Fortunately, Giles heard of the gathering crowd and came to talk to them. "Whence heard you of this bridge idea?" he asked Newell. "From a visitor to Freeville," Newell responded. "From a stranger?" asked Giles incredulously. "From the Unfree people? How can a free idea come from an Unfree stranger?" he asked. No one could think of an answer. Everyone knew that everything about Freeville was the best.

"Such a structure would take away our freedom!" declared Giles. "Now we have the choice to ride the ferry or swim. That is freedom. But with the bridge everyone would take the bridge. Our choice would be taken away. Liberty would be sacrificed for security, and foreign philosophies like Togetherism would rule the land! People would be interfering with the natural order of Fate. The next thing you know, we would all be slaves with no freedom at all!"

Giles' brilliant logic had won the day. All the people admitted the error of their ways, including Newell. Of what had they been thinking? The people of Freeville went back to being happy and free. The next spring, when Newell's son died in the Swift current, of course he was sad. But he was also proud, proud that his son had died free.

And they all lived happily ever after. Except the ones who didn't.

Wednesday, April 8, 2009

Is Obama Caving to Banks?

Right wing pundits like Sean Hannity and the Republican congressional leadership characterize President Barack Obama more and more openly as a socialist bent on having the federal government take over the national economy. Their liberal counterparts such as Bill Moyers and the Huffington Post accuse the same man of showing himself to be captive to if not a toady of the very financial insiders who have taken the world economy to the precipice. So what is he, radical leftist or closet reactionary?

The answer, of course, is neither. When I hear both the far left and the far right going bananas my BS indicator lights up. It usually indicates someone is charting a moderate or a pragmatic course. Based on his books, his campaign and his statements on the issues so far, I think Obama gets the gist of what is happening very well. Obama is a pragmatist with a heart; that is what gives him a liberal bent. He wants to solve problems and get people the help they need. He is not a doctrinaire ideologue.

Look at his stance on health care, for instance. He wants people to have health coverage. If the private market were working he would have no problem with doing it that way. But it doesn't. Nearly 50 million people are without coverage and millions more with coverage are denied the care they need by companies whose interest lies in profit rather than providing care. Consequently we will see an effort to modify the system to make them compete against a government entity that exists to provide care. It's not the single payer the left wants. It's not the unfettered free market the right wants. It jumps out of the ruts of the ideological divide; it's a hybrid.

Word comes today from Bloomberg that the Congressional Oversight Panel led by Harvard Law School Professor Elizabeth Warren is suggesting stronger action, including, "getting rid of top executives and liquidating problem banks." The majority of the group, appointed by Democrats, said it was offering "potential policy alternatives" to the way Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner has restructured the TARP setup and "not endorsing any shift at this time." Still, Warren said in an interview that bank liquidation could work faster and be, "least likely to sap the patience of taxpayers" and "provide clarity relatively quickly" to the markets.

Geithner's plan for using government leverage to incentivize investors to bid on loan portfolios containing unknown amounts of "toxic" subprime mortgages is similarly running into a lot of criticism from the left. Sam Stein in Huffington Post, for instance, quotes Columbia University economist Jeffrey Sachs as saying, "The amount of potential rip-off in the Geithner-Summers plan is unconscionably large." Bill Moyers and Michael Winship in Truthout write of a number of fears based on the reduction of FBI agents overseeing banking since 9/11, reasoning by analogy based on the S & L Crisis of the late 80s and the financial industry connections of Geithner and Larry Summers to conclude without any real evidence that criminality and favoritism are at the root of their approach to the crisis. It may be, but circumstantial evidence and suspicion are not proof.

An insight into what is likely happening comes from a scoop reported on Politico on April 3 and since picked up by others. The article by Eamon Javers, "Inside Obama's Bank CEOs Meeting" offers a fascinating glimpse of the president at work. Five White House figures were there: Chief of Staff Rahm Emanuel, Geithner, Council of Economic Affairs Chair Christina Romer, Senior Adviser Valerie Jarrett and National Economic Council Director Summers. Summers was so quiet the source speculated he had been told not to say anything.

There were no trappings of ceremony. Obama came in, went around the table and shook hands. He took his seat and said, "So let's get to it." His demeanor to "the titans of finance - men used to being the most powerful man in almost any room - was 'I'm the president, and you're not.'" He ran down the economic situation "for several minutes without notes," finally touching on Wall Street compensation. "The anger, gentlemen, is real." He said rewards must be "proportional, balanced, and tied to the health and success of the company."

"These are complicated companies," one CEO began. Another said, "We're competing for talent on an international market," trying to justify enormous salaries and bonuses. But President Obama was in no mood to hear them out. "Be careful how you make those statements, gentlemen. The public isn't buying that. My administration is the only thing between you and the pitchforks." Some wanted to start paying back the money early. He told them no, they would pay back the money on the schedules Treasury had devised. There would be also be regulatory reform coming and they would swallow it and like it. He said, "This is like a patient who's on antibiotics. Maybe the patient starts feeling better after a couple of days, but you don't stop taking the medicine until you've finished the bottle."

This doesn't sound like a man who is beholden to these men, in awe of them or uncomprehending of the issues relating to finance. It sounds like a man who knows exactly what he wants to do and is in the process of doing it - just as he is in practically every other matter on his very full plate. It's possible that Obama is wrong here, that heads should be rolling and half the country's major financial institutions ought to be in Chapter 11. Some say the president is showing a lack of intestinal fortitude, that when it comes down to it he is a wimp.

Or maybe not. At the very moment he was addressing these executives, GM CEO Rick Wagoner was in a private meeting he had been summoned to with Obama's Auto Task Force Senior Advisor Steve Rattner, who summarily informed him that his resignation would be required immediately. I'd say it looks like Obama thinks things can be righted the way he is going about it. The situation with Wagoner shows he will be ruthless when necessary. If the banks need it too I suspect he will pull the trigger when he judges the time has come. He doesn't think it has, yet. The guy is very smart, very sequential and deadly serious behind that infectious smile. He's been on the job ten weeks. I say give him time to unfold his strategy. It may just be that he knows precisely what he's about, and that some are underestimating him. It wouldn't be the first time.

Tuesday, April 7, 2009

Wedding Bells

I've been out of town for the past couple of days. We usually go to the L.A. area for Easter. Family schedules didn't work out for that though, so we got together this weekend in lieu. One of the big developments is that my younger daughter is now engaged to be married.

I like the young man and the traditional way he handled things. Our daughter Marie met him where they both live down in San Diego. That's nearly 350 miles from here. We had met him at least a couple of times before, including spending Thanksgiving with his family in Chula Vista (near San Diego) last November. He called me on the phone about three weeks ago and asked if he could come talk to me.

So two Fridays ago he drove all the way up here. We went for a walk and talked about love and commitment and friendship and working things out and a lot of the other things that go into sustaining a relationship for a lifetime. It is good he has a college degree and a good job, and that he was able to get employed again after his job at Countrywide disappeared. Those are welcome. A good work ethic and earning capacity are not inconsequential, particularly considering my daughter is in the theater business. But of greater importance to me are his level-headed demeanor, open-mindedness, sense of humor, and seeming willingness to listen and think about things. I gave him my approval. He thanked me and showed me the engagement ring he'd bought. It was very nice. I thought back to my own proposal to Joan, when I couldn't afford one but at least she said she didn't care about having one and it was better for us not to spend scarce funds on non-essentials like that. I was grateful to her for that. It was touching to hear Marie thank me over the phone later for giving my "permission." Sometimes your children, even once they're grown, think you have more power than you really do!

Some friends and family members have remarked with amazement along the lines that it must be a shock that my daughter is getting married. They think of her as a little girl and goodness, haven't the years gone by in a hurry? Well, no, not really. Marie is 23 now, and her fiance just turned 27. I'm 54 myself. Those seem like pretty reasonable ages for people to be brides, grooms or fathers of brides to me! That is particularly true if the girl has her head on straight, as Marie seems to.

It was fun for me and my wife to spend time with her and her sister, going shopping and talkng about wedding plans. They are shooting for a January wedding--don't cringe, this is San Diego we're talking about, where the January high may be 70 instead of 74--and nine months is considered a fairly conventional time frame for arranging one of these things. Not cheap but not extravagant, is how I put it to her.

So another of those milestones of life is coming. It feels good to be getting to experience it. These are the some of the universal themes of life across all cultures: your childrens' progression into adulthood, independence and marriage. I want my daughter to be happy. She and Robert are in love, and Robert seems to be a good man, serious about making this marriage work. One never knows, but I'd say their chances are far better than average for that to happen. How do peacock blue, cream white and sunny yellow grab you for the wedding colors? I'm sure it will all be wonderful.

Saturday, April 4, 2009

Box Score from Europe

By all accounts, Barack and Michelle Obama are making quite a splash as they wend their way across Europe. Rapturous crowds shriek excitedly at every glimpse of the American visitors. The leaders of Britain, France and Germany have seized every opportunity to be seen with the Obamas and to conduct joint press conferences with the U.S. President in which they praise his views and leadership qualities. In terms of American image and repairing the general tenor of U.S./European relations it is hard to imagine a better trip. Barack Obama is not George W. Bush. Our allies and their publics are ecstatic.

But what about the substantive results of the conferences so far? The G-20 economic summit and the NATO meeting had serious business on their agendas. Accomplishments here are quite a bit more modest, but important none the less.

At the G-20 Obama reportedly resolved a dispute between French President Nicolas Sarkozy and Chinese Premier Hu Jintao by direct personal diplomacy. Source. Of the four main topics of the summit: cooperation, anti-protectionism, financial regulation and closing tax havens, Obama's views fared well enough for such a gathering. Cooperation included a $1.1 trillion collective pledge of assistance for the third world that was adopted. Keep in mind that a good part of the rationale for this is to allow the developing nations to continue to buy G-20 exports and you can appreciate its acceptance. Obama's other aim, to encourage the other governments to engage in strong stimulus efforts in their own countries, met with mixed results. The British government of Gordon Brown enthusiastically agreed. The Germans under Angela Merkl feel their safety net is already strong. The French government of Sarkozy says it has done its stimulating and doesn't need to do it again. Today Obama said that no one should, "believe the notion that, somehow, the United States was trying to dictate the budgets of other countries."

On the regulatory matters, all agreed that "complex financial instruments" such as credit default swaps, derivatives and hedge funds must now be brought under strict regulatory oversight. There was also surprising accord on the need to crack down on "tax haven" dodges such as Cayman Islands incorporation and secret Swiss bank accounts. The nitty gritty of getting these things done is far too arcane for quick settlement among many nations at a summit table and will be left to specialists to devise later. While this is unavoidable for practical reasons, it remains to be seen how effective or coordinated the international effort will subsequently be. Some observers are skeptical.

On the NATO front, the Allies agreed to send 3,000 additional combat troops to Afghanistan and a few hundred trainers for the Afghan Army and police. While this is a small augmentation and no doubt less than Obama hoped, he will gladly take whatever he can get. Most European publics are not supportive of combat involvement there and to get any leaders to support the U.S. President with anything militarily at this point is a successful outcome for him and certainly more than his predecessor had been able to secure.

All in all, the overall box score must be judged quite successful so far from the American point of view. Both as a campaign event to return the American image to favorability and influence foreign governments through public pressure on their leaders, and substantively in terms of U.S. positions adopted at the forums, the trip has done very well.

The Obamas are next on their way to the Czech Republic before concluding the journey with a visit to Turkey. It will be informative to see how things are received on the edge of Eastern Europe and in the most Westernized part of the Muslim world.

Wednesday, April 1, 2009

G-20 Summit: Ignore the Rumors

The G-20 Summit opens tomorrow in London. This gathering of the leaders of the world's 20 biggest economies meets with much at stake due to the global recession and financial industry crisis. The countries represented account for between 80% and 90% of the world's economic output, so any decisions reached in concert will prove decisive to a recovery strategy.

Much attention has been directed toward the seeming recalcitrance of France and Germany to get on board with the kind of stimulus ideas the U.S. and Britain are advocating. It has even been said that French President Nicholas Sarkozy is threatening to walk out of the meeting if it pushes the stimulus idea too hard. I wouldn't take that likelihood too seriously, given an op-ed Sarkozy circulated to the world this morning. Click on this link to read Sarkozy's entire text printed in the Washington Post.

In his editorial the French President recalls the G-20 meeting last November in Washington and reiterates his determination to stick to the four goals outlined at that time. He writes, "In November, we agreed on four principles that would guide our response: enhanced coordination and cooperation; the rejection of protectionist measures; the strengthening of regulatory systems in financial markets; and a new global governance." He then reported good progress on the first two--no protectionism and that, "many nations have injected massive support into their economies, undertaking ambitious stimulus programs. Countries that offer their citizens a high level of social protection, such as France, have also significantly increased their levels of crisis-related welfare spending." He even goes on to say, "...we must be ready to do even more if circumstances require it." This certainly does not sound like someone diametrically at odds with U.S. President Barack Obama's approach.

Of the summit, Sarkozy says, "This week we must attach the same sense of urgency to the regulation of financial markets," and expands this to add, "We agreed in November that not one financial player, institution or product could be beyond the control of a regulatory authority. This rule must be applied to credit rating agencies, speculative investment funds and tax havens." For his bottom line, Sarkozy concludes, "We must achieve practical results beginning with tomorrow's summit. And failure is not an option."

I wouldn't hold my breath waiting for discord and people walking out in a huff. The stakes are too high and the remedies too obvious for that.